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Indianapolis Colts: Week 5 Player Values in DraftKings

By Mathew Muncy

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Week 4 didn’t work out in my favor, but I’m back with Week 5 DraftKings player values for the Indianapolis Colts.

Our Indianapolis Colts, unfortunately, get a short week and travel to take on the Houston Texans for Thursday Night Football. If the short week wasn’t bad enough, the Andrew Luck injury, and subsequent lack of information, really makes it hard to find value once again in any of the Colts players.

With Luck sitting out last week against the Jacksonville Jaguars, my projections went straight out the door. Not only did Frank Gore and Donte Moncrief have mediocre performances, but Coby Fleener ended up having a better day than anticipated.

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Last week the Texans defense gave up five touchdowns to the Atlanta Falcons, including three rushing touchdowns to Devonta Freeman. Sadly, the Colts offense has not shown its normal firepower, hopefully due to Luck’s injury, so it doesn’t seem plausible for the Texans defense to have a second-straight horrible performance.

Let’s take a look at the individual DraftKings salary cap numbers and some insight on which Colts player might be worth adding to your lineup.

QB – Andrew Luck – $7,700

Luck missed his first career game last week and is currently listed as questionable for Thursday’s game, yet only dropped $100 this week. Houston’s pass defense wasn’t great for the first two weeks as they gave up 23.2 fantasy points to Alex Smith and 28.4 points to Cam Newton. But in the last two weeks they’ve given up 27.5 points combined to Jameis Winston and Matt Ryan. Based on price, injury, short week and a rising passing defense, I would not start Luck this week.

RB – Frank Gore – $5,000

I really thought Gore was going to have his breakout week last week, but the Jaguars defense keyed in on him since the Colts were forced to start Matt Hasselbeck at quarterback. Gore finished with 12.7 fantasy points, yet went up $300. The Texans just gave up four rushing touchdowns last week to the Atlanta Falcons, but you can expect the defense to make Luck or Hasselbeck beat them through the air. Until we see a more consistent run game I’m staying away from Gore in DFS.

WR – T.Y. Hilton – $6,800

My bold prediction from last week blew up in my face once it was announced that Luck would not be the starting quarterback. I really thought Hilton would have a big day, but he was held to seven catches for 67 yards and zero touchdowns. The Texans have done a decent job at holding team’s WR1 and WR2 to an average of 10.15 and 4.1 FFPG respectively. Hilton is averaging 12.9 FPPG, so at his price and having no idea how Luck will perform if he plays, I wouldn’t play Hilton outside of the Flex position this week.

Sep 27, 2015; Nashville, TN, USA; Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Donte Moncrief (10) celebrates after catching a touchdown pass against the Tennessee Titans during the second half at Nissan Stadium. Indianapolis won 35-33. Mandatory Credit: Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports

WR – Donte Moncrief – $5,400

If you really want to play a Colts player this week then look no further than Moncrief. He’s outplaying the rest of the Colts wide receivers this year but is still super cheap on DraftKings. Moncrief caught six passes for 75 yards last week and had his touchdown streak snapped. The biggest reason I’d look to play Moncrief has to do with Houston’s defense against WR3, which you can argue Moncrief is on the field with Andre Johnson still lining up somehow. The Texans are giving up 12.13 FPPG to WR3, which is almost more than what they give up to WR1 and WR2 combined. That’s a huge weakness that you can expect the Colts to attack whether it’s Luck or Hasselbeck behind center. Moncrief is a definite play for me this week.

TE – Coby Fleener – $3,200

Boy, was I completely wrong about Fleener last week or what? I had predicted he would get overlooked by the wide receivers, but Hasselbeck found him all day, including once in the end zone. Fleener finished with 23.3 fantasy points which easily led the team. He had nine receptions for 82 yards, but I don’t think he will repeat that against Houston. Only Travis Kelce, who had a ridiculous game, has really hurt the Texans defense from the tight end position this year and you can’t put Fleener in the same regard. At $3,200 Fleener would be a solid play if you are looking for a cheap tight end because he will get his targets and is always a red zone threat. Just don’t expect another 20-point game from him this week.

DST – Colts – $2,900

The Colts defense is still awful, but if you don’t mind getting around four to six fantasy points for your defense and looking to go cheap then they are a decent pick. They’ve averaged 7 FPPG over the last three games, have Robert Mathis back and will be getting Greg Toler back this week. There are better defenses out there who could also get you points with their special teams units, but the Colts are viable if needed.

Next: Colts: Could Adam Vinatieri enter HOF as a Colt?

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